Home and Away: Predicting Astros-Rays Game 3

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Tampa Bay hopes to stave off the inevitable at home. Their Wild Card game champion, Charlie Morton, starts. The Rays may like the pitching match up, but we don’t. Still, the Rays have a punchers chance of stealing one game. That’s about all, though.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 48-33; Away: 48-33
  • Starting pitcher: Charlie Morton Home 8-3; Away 8-3
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 2.59/0.96; Away 3.59/1.23
  • Closer: Emilio Pagan Home 9 SV; 15 SVO; WHIP 0.71; 2.75 ERA/ Away 11 SV; 13 SVO; WHIP 0.98; 1.76 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA.321; wRC+ 102; Avg .254
  • Best Hitter: Austin Meadows Home wOBA .364; wRC+ 135; Avg .296/ Away wOBA .395; wRC+ 149; Avg .285
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Charlie Morton vs Alex Bregman Avg .250; 4 AB; 1 R; 1 H; 0 HR; 0 RBI; 1 SO; .500 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 48.6;

Zack Greinke takes the mound for the Astros, proving that the Astros have the best starting rotation among the playoff bunch. Dominant at home, he’s been pretty dominant away as well. He’ll be holding the broom handle tonight,

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 60-21; Away: 47-34
  • Starting pitcher: Zack Greinke Home 8-1; Away 10-4
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 3.27/1.04; Away 2.64/1.07
  • Closer: Roberto Osuna Home 23 SV; 25 SVO; WHIP 0.84; 2.68 ERA/ Away 15 SV; 19 SVO; WHIP 0.93; 2.57 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .355; wRC+ 125; Avg .274
  • Best Hitter: Alex Bregman Home wOBA .387; wRC+ 150; Avg .278/ Away wOBA .450; wRC+ 186; Avg .315
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Zack Greinke vs Austin Meadows Avg .111; 9 AB; 1 H; 1 HR; 1 RBI; 2 SO; .555 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 65.5;

Staff pick: Houston Astros in a low scoring game.
Vitamin Cee pick: TBD

IMAGE SOURCE: Creative Commons

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