Home and Away: Predicting the Rays-Astros Game 1

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Tyler Glasnow takes the mound for Tampa Bay. He’s 4-0 with a 0.55 ERA when pitching away. Same goes for closer Emilio Pagan. Only problem is that he and the Rays going up against Justin Verlander.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 48-33; Away: 48-33
  • Starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow Home 2-1; Away 4-0
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 3.25/1.16; Away 0.55/0.67
  • Closer: Emilio Pagan Home 9 SV; 15 SVO; WHIP 0.71; 2.75 ERA/ Away 11 SV; 13 SVO; WHIP 0.98; 1.76 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA.321; wRC+ 102; Avg .254
  • Best Hitter: Austin Meadows Home wOBA .364; wRC+ 135; Avg .296/ Away wOBA .395; wRC+ 149; Avg .285
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Tyler Glasnow vs Alex Bregman Avg .500; 2 AB; 1 R; 1 H; 1 HR; 1 SO; 2.50 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 48.6;

The Houston Astros begin defending their World Series title in earnest this afternoon. They’ll be confident with ace Justin Verlander as their starter. They’re the team to beat and until that happens, they’ll also be the prohibitive favorites to march into the Fall Classic.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 60-21; Away: 47-34
  • Starting pitcher: Justin Verlander Home 10-4; Away 11-2
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 2.34/0.84; Away 2.82/0.76
  • Closer: Roberto Osuna Home 23 SV; 25 SVO; WHIP 0.84; 2.68 ERA/ Away 15 SV; 19 SVO; WHIP 0.93; 2.57 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .355; wRC+ 125; Avg .274
  • Best Hitter: Alex Bregman Home wOBA .387; wRC.+ 150; Avg .278/ Away wOBA .450; wRC+ 186; Avg .315
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Justin Verlander vs Austin Meadows Avg .200; 5 AB; 1 R; 1 H; 0 SO; 1.133 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 65.5;

Staff pick: Houston Astros in a low scoring game.
Vitamin Cee pick: Houston Astros

IMAGE SOURCE: Creative Commons

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