Home and Away: Predicting Cardinals-Braves Game 2

Words matter. Images matter. The Scientific Inquirer needs your support. Help us pay our contributors for their hard work. Visit our Patreon page and discover ways that you can make a difference. http://bit.ly/2jjiagi

The Cards pulled one out of the hat in Game 1. SP Jack Flaherty’s an even 4-4 on the road. We don’t see St. Louis taking two of two in Atlanta. It doesn’t matter, really. They’ve already neutralized home field for the Braves and now the pressure is on the Tribe.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 50-31; Away: 41-40
  • Starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty Home 7-4; Away 4-4
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 2.37/0.79; Away 3.13/1.15
  • Closer: Carlos Martinez Home 12 SV; 14 SVO; WHIP 0.92; 1.82 ERA/ Away 12 SV; 13 SVO; WHIP 1.44; 4.56 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .314; wRC+ 95; Avg .245
  • Best Hitter: Paul DeJong Home wOBA .301; wRC+ 90; Avg .219/ Away wOBA .343; wRC+ 110; Avg .247
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Jack Flaherty vs Ronald Acuna Jr. Avg .333; 7 AB; 1 R; 1 H; 1 RBI; 2 BB; 4 SO; .476 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 41.9;

The Braves put in a very imperfect performance in Game 1 and cannot afford another. Their bullpen needs to step up. An 0-2 deficit would be disastrous. SP Mike Foltynewicz has been mediocre at home and that’s a cause for concern. That being said, we see them leaving home with a split. It’s not ideal, but it’s better than nothing. Is today a must win? You can make a good case that it is. The Braves’s bats will need to increase their production.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 50-31; Away: 47-34
  • Starting pitcher: Mike Foltynewicz Home 3-3; Away 5-3
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 4.58/1.31; Away 4.50/1.19
  • Closer: Luke Jackson Home 6 SV; 10 SVO; WHIP 1.28; 3.41 ERA/ Away 12 SV; 15 SVO; WHIP 1.51; 4.23 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .332; wRC+ 102; Avg .258
  • Best Hitter: Ronald Acuna Jr. Home wOBA .369; wRC+ 125; Avg .281/ Away wOBA .369; wRC+ 128; Avg .278
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Mike Foltynewicz vs Paul DeJong Avg .364; 10 AB; 3 R; 3 H; 1 HR; 3 RBI; 1 BB; 2 SO; 1.064 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 42.1;

Staff pick: Atlanta Braves
Vitamin Cee’s pick: TBD

IMAGE SOURCE: Creative Commons

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: