Home and Away: Predicting the Nationals-Dodgers Game 5

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Strasburg vs. Buehler. Both teams should feel good about their starters. Strasburg has been a beast, only a little less ferocious when pitching away. It may prove the difference.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 50-31; Away: 47-34
  • Starting pitcher: Steven Strasburg Home 10-2; Away 8-4
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 3.21/0.95; Away 3.39/1.11
  • Closer: Sean Doolittle Home 15 SV; 14 SVO; WHIP 1.43; 3.86 ERA/ Away 14 SV; 17 SVO; WHIP 1.12; 4.32 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .336; wRC+ 103; Avg .265
  • Best Hitter: Anthony Rendon – Home wOBA .424; wRC+ 160; Avg .317/ Away – wOBA .401; wRC+ 148; Avg .321
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Steven Strasburg vs Cody Bellinger Avg .200; 15 AB; 1 R; 2 H; 1 2B; 2 BB; 4 SO; .478 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 52.9;

It’s tough game to call. Bueler’s ERA/WHIP at home edges Stasburg’s away numbers. With so little separating them, we’ll lean on that and say Buehler by a little bit.

This is how they stack up.

  • Home: 59-22; Away: 47-34
  • Starting pitcher: Walker Buehler Home 6-1; Away 8-3
  • Starting Pitcher ERA/WHIP: Home 2.89/0.89; Away 3.86/1.20
  • Closer: Kelley Jansen Home 19 SV; 23 SVO; WHIP 1.09; 3.28 ERA/ Away 14 SV; 18 SVO; WHIP 1.02; 4.28 ERA
  • Team Hitting: wOBA .338; wRC+ 111; Avg .257
  • Best Hitter: Cody Bellinger Home wOBA .424; wRC+ 172; Avg .304/ Away wOBA .405; wRC+ 151; Avg .305
  • Pitcher vs. Best Hitter (Career): Walker Buehler vs Anthony Rendon Avg .500; 6 AB; 0 R; 3 H; 2 RBI; 1 BB; 1 SO; 1.404 OPS
  • Misc: Team WAR 55.4;

Staff pick: Los Angeles Dodgers in a low scoring game.
Vitamin Cee pick: Washington Nationals

IMAGE SOURCE: Creative Commons

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