A recent study analyzed the percentage of a population that would need to be vaccinated in order to achieve herd immunity. Their findings were sobering. For an ideal scenario where a single infection proffers life-long immunity, the researchers crunched the numbers, so to speak. โ€œGiven an R0 value before lockdowns in most countries of between 2ยท5 to 3ยท5, we estimate the herd immunity required is about 60โ€“72%. If the proportional vaccine efficacy, ฮต, is considered, the simple expression for pc becomes [1โ€ˆโ€“โ€ˆ1โ€ˆ/โ€ˆR0]โ€ˆ/โ€ˆฮต. If we assume ฮต is 0ยท8 (80%), then the herd immunity required becomes 75โ€“90% for the defined range of R0 values. For lower efficacies, the entire population would have to be immunised. These overall estimates ignore heterogeneities that can make these figures lower or higher in specific locations.โ€ If immunity is short lived, things get much more complicated. If you also factor in vaccine hesitancy and full-on anti-vaxxers, sobering turns into depressing. Basically, all bets are off. https://bit.ly/38yDkBW


While weโ€™re on the topic of COVID-19 vaccines, a separate study surveyed the general population regarding whether they would get vaccinated once a drug is available. Their findings donโ€™t bode well. Per Reuters, โ€œConspiracy theories and misinformation fuel mistrust in vaccines and could push levels that potential COVID-19 vaccines are taken in the United States and Britain below the rates needed to protect communities against the disease, a study found on Thursday.โ€ It looks like the worst case scenarios of the previously mentioned study regarding herd immunity is likely to happen. https://reut.rs/2UkCXCD


On a lighter noteโ€ฆ A recent study in PLOS Biology investigates the relationship between symbiotic, glow-in-the-dark biology and certain squids. Their findings elucidate some of the metabolic and genetic changes that occur between the two. โ€œWe report here that the bacterial sRNA SsrA plays an essential role in the light-organ symbiosis between Vibrio fischeri and the squid Euprymna scolopes. The symbionts load SsrA into outer membrane vesicles, which are transported specifically into the epithelial cells surrounding the symbiont population in the light organ.โ€ Somewhat expectedly, the squidโ€™s immune system experienced a discernable uptick, presumably to maintain its health while still enjoying the benefits from the bacteria. https://bit.ly/36tDV55


Vitamins are everywhere. Entire chains of stores are dedicated to them. Yet, there has never been definitive proof that taking products like multivitamins actually improve the health of the persons taking them. A study in the British Medical Journal muddies the water further. โ€œNevertheless, the lack of any difference in the health outcomes assessed is in line with other studies indicating that multivitamin/mineral supplements donโ€™t improve overall health in the general adult population, say the researchers. They put forward two possible explanations for their findings: either regular users of these supplements simply believe they work and that they confer health benefits in the absence of hard evidence to that effect, or they are just inherently more positive about their personal health, irrespective of their supplement use.โ€ Considering how massive the health supplements industry is, the teamโ€™s findings certainly give reason to pause. https://bit.ly/3koqWqk


Processingโ€ฆ
Success! You're on the list.

Leave a Reply

Trending

Discover more from Scientific Inquirer

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading