An observational study of patients being treated for acute COVID-19 in a multicenter health care system observed virologic rebound in about 20 percent of patients treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (N-R) versus about 2 percent of those who did not receive treatment. The findings are published in Annals of Internal Medicine. 

N-R is an oral antiviral widely used in the United Sates to reduce the incidence of hospitalization and death among individuals with mild to moderate COVID-19. Soon after its adoption into clinical care, a clinical and virologic rebound phenomenon was reported, but data are conflicting about how common it is.ย 


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Researchers from Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Womenโ€™s Hospital studied 127 patients with acute COVID-19 to compare the frequency of virologic rebound in patients with (n=72) and without (n=55) N-R treatment. The study outcome was viral rebound within 3 weeks of an initial positive test, defined as either a positive SARS-CoV-2 viral culture following a prior negative culture or sustained elevated viral load after a prior decline.

With frequent monitoring by both PCR and viral culture during the acute stages of COVID-19, the data showed that virologic rebound with replication-competent prolonged viral shedding occurred in approximately 1 in 5 individuals taking N-R. Only 1 untreated patient experienced virologic rebound.

People who rebounded shedded live virus for a median of 14 days versus less than 5 dyas in those who did not. A regression model showed a trend towards higher rates of virologic rebound with earlier N-R initiation after the date of diagnosis and with earlier N-R initiation after the onset of symptoms.

The researchers noted that compared with untreated individuals, those taking N-R were older, had received more COVID-19 vaccinations, and were more often immunosuppressed.ย 

According to the study authors, these findings should be factored into consideration when weighing the benefits and risks of N-R treatment in patients at low risk for severe disease. Still, for patients at moderate to high-risk for severe COVID-19, the clinical benefits associated with N-R use are well established.  

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