For a very long time, the U.S. dollar has maintained a relatively strong position compared with most, if not all, of the world’s other currencies. King Dollar reigned supreme, unchallenged and unconcerned. Then it met COVID-19 and all that changed.
These two sets charts pretty much tell most of the story. (Of course, the run-up to and conclusion of the U.S. presidential election also played a role.)
In April, the epidemic took hold in earnest. Since then, there’s been no looking back. (Though you could say that there’s been a lot of looking down from the increasing heights of COVID-19’s 7-day average.)
After trading sideways for a bit between March and mid-May, the descent of the dollar has been so steep it looks parabolic if we pulled the chart’s timeframe back further. It took a pause in August-September during the less chaotic summer months, though COVID-19 continued to creep through the American Midwest.
Anyone smart enough to take up a short position way back in spring can pat themselves on the back. They can also thank the Trump Administration for mishandling the crisis of a generation.
WORDS: Marc Landas
