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AI-Powered Social Media Can Subtly Manipulate Public Opinion, Study Finds

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AI tools used to generate, edit or contextualise social media posts can introduce hidden biases that spread through online networks and shape public opinion, according to new research from the Oxford Internet Institute (OII) at the University of Oxford and the Hasso Plattner Institute at the University of Potsdam.

The study found that large language models (LLMs) consistently changed the direction of social media posts on contested topics, even when explicitly instructed to preserve the original meaning. The researchers also show, through simulations of real-world social networks, how these small changes could accumulate across millions of interactions and gradually influence broader public opinion.

The findings raise questions about the growing use of AI-powered writing tools on social media platforms and suggest that AI-mediated communication could become a powerful new mechanism for influencing public discourse.

The study, AI-Mediated Communication Can Steer Collective Opinion, authored by Dr. Stratis Tsirtsis, Kai Rawal, Professor Chris Russell, Professor Brent Mittelstadt and Professor Sandra Wachter, has been accepted for presentation at the AI4Good and Technical AI Governance Research workshops at the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2026) in Seoul, South Korea.

Key Findings

Methods

The researchers instructed large language models (LLMs) from different providers to transform human-written texts on contested topics into improved social media posts. They then analysed whether the AI-generated versions systematically changed the position expressed in the original posts. Next, they used mathematical modelling and computer simulations based on real social network data from X and Facebook to examine how these small changes could spread through online networks and affect broader public opinion over time.

Example: Grok’s “Explain This Post” Feature

By recreating and testing X’s “Explain this post” feature, with a focus on abortion-related posts, researchers found that Grok was more supportive of pro-life posts than pro-choice posts. By removing X’s instructions one by one, they traced this imbalance back to a single instruction telling Grok to “challenge mainstream narratives if necessary”. This experiment illustrates how targeted, easy-to-implement platform interventions can shape the way AI systems influence public discourse online.

Implications for Regulation

The research highlights AI-mediated communication as an emerging form of influence that existing regulatory frameworks do not yet cover. While initiatives such as the EU AI Act and Digital Services Act focus on systemic risks, harmful content, discrimination, and threats to democratic processes, they do not directly address the more subtle ways AI can shape opinions through drafting, editing, or contextualising online content.

“Our research points to AI-mediated communication as a new and more subtle way of influencing opinions – one the law has yet to catch up with – and offers food for thought about who, or what, is shaping public discourse,” says senior author Sandra Wachter, Professor of Technology and Regulation at the Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford.

How Social Platforms Are Using AI

Generative AI is increasingly integrated across online platforms, shaping how we interact with each other. For example, LinkedIn offers premium users the ability to improve their posts using AI, X’s Grok model is already a cornerstone of the platform, and recent advertised updates to Google search are pointing to a future where our online production and consumption of information is increasingly AI-mediated.


Study Title: AI-Mediated Communication Can Steer Collective Opinion
Authors: Dr. Stratis Tsirtsis, Kai Rawal, Prof. Chris Russell, Prof. Brent Mittelstadt, Prof. Sandra Wachter
Institutions: Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford; Hasso Plattner Institute, University of Potsdam
Presentation: AI4Good and Technical AI Governance Research workshops, ICML 2026, Seoul, South Korea
Preprint: arXiv:2605.16245
Publication Date: 5-Jul-2026
Funding: Alexander von Humboldt Foundation; Alexander von Humboldt Professorship; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research

Source: EurekAlert

Featured image credit: Getty Images/iStockphoto

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