DATA DEPENDENT: Breaking down the 2019 coronavirus outbreak (02/13/2020) – Spike in data wrecks charts (and probably models)

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The data associated with the COVID-19 outbreak shows took a dramatic turn with official Chinese reporting nearly 15,000 new confirmed infections. The spike is due to changes in data criteria, namely the inclusion of clinically diagnosed positives. Now, doctors are allowed to make positive diagnosis by CT scan without e need for lab testing. While producing more robust numbers, the change has its downsides and is also causing some confusion.

Meanwhile, a 70-year old woman in Japan became the third fatality outside of Mainland China.

Country or territory[a] Confirmed Deaths[b] Recoveries[b]
 Mainland China[c] 59,823 1,367 6,205
International conveyance[d] 218
 Singapore 58 0 15
 Hong Kong 53 1 1
 Japan 33 1 10
 Thailand 33 0 10
 South Korea 28 0 7
 Malaysia 19 0 3
 Taiwan 18 0 1
 Germany 16 0 1
 Vietnam 16 0 7
 Australia 15 0 5
 United States 15 0 3
 France 11 0 2
 Macau 10 0 3
 United Kingdom 9 0 1
 United Arab Emirates 8 0 1
 Canada 7 0 1
 India 3 0 1
 Philippines 3 1 2
 Italy 3 0
 Russia 2 0 2
 Spain 2 0
 Belgium 1 0
 Cambodia 1 0 1
 Finland 1 0 1
 Nepal 1 0 1
 Sri Lanka 1 0 1
 Sweden 1 0
28 territories 60,409 1,370 6,285
As of 13 February 2020 · History: China, others

Notes

  1. ^ Region where case was diagnosed. Nationality and location of original infection may vary.
  2. ^ a b “—” denotes that no data is currently available for that territory, not that the value is zero.
  3. ^ Includes clinically diagnosed cases and deaths from 12 February 2020 and onwards. This also includes asymptomatic cases that have been tested positive for the virus.
  4. ^ The cruise ship Diamond Princess is currently quarantined in Japanese waters and managed by the Japanese government. However, WHO classifies the cases on board as being located “on an international conveyance” instead of in Japan. These cases are not included in the Japanese government’s official count.

TABLE SOURCE: Wikipedia

IMAGE SOURCE: Screenshot

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